谷歌是巴菲特亲自开的仓:比华尔街九成标的更可能胜出
2026 年 7 月接受 CNBC 专访时,巴菲特确认伯克希尔的 Alphabet 仓位是他发起的,阿贝尔是最终决策者,两人几乎每天沟通。他承认当年谷歌轻资产时没买是个错误;如今谷歌大举投入资本开支,他认为凭过往记录,谷歌比华尔街推销的九成以上标的更可能成为赢家。
I think they're more likely to be a winner based on the record than probably 90 percent or 95 percent of what gets merchandised through Wall Street, because Wall Street, it's just whether they can sell something.
AI、错过
说完之后,2026Q3 的 13F:13F 尚未披露
可口可乐:持有 45 年,从不参与经营,依然是很好的生意
巴菲特说伯克希尔持有可口可乐约 45 年,从不参与经营,但它是很好的生意,也就是能长期获得高资本回报的企业。他同时说明,伯克希尔看待持有的股票和全资子公司是同一套标准。
But if you take Coca-Cola, which we have owned 45 years, whatever it may be, we don't have a thing to do with running that business. And, but it's a very good business.
长期持有、资本回报
说完之后,2026Q3 的 13F:13F 尚未披露
美国运通:资本回报 30% 以上,风险却不比银行高
2026 年 7 月谈「什么是好生意」时,巴菲特以美国运通为例:大多数银行的资本回报率在 13%–14%,人们会以为运通差不多,但运通能赚 30% 以上,而且承担的风险并不比银行高。投资的诀窍就是找到能长期保持高资本回报的企业。
If I asked everybody to guess what American Express would, they would come up with some figure similar, but it's so different that it earns 30 percent-plus on capital and does not incur more risk in doing so than the banks that earn 13 or 14 percent.
护城河、资本回报
说完之后,2026Q3 的 13F:13F 尚未披露
谷歌的考验:AI 时代要投入巨额资本
巴菲特说,好生意是能长期获得远高于国债收益的资本回报;谷歌和其他 AI 公司现在都要投入数千亿美元,这是过去软件时代没有的游戏,真正的问题在这里。他还说自己对 Alphabet 的喜欢程度,不如伯克希尔自有的至少四五家企业。
Now, the question is, when you get into Google or any of the A.I. companies, you're putting out huge amounts of money.
AI、资本开支、风险
说完之后,2026Q3 的 13F:13F 尚未披露